How Flying Will Change in 2022? Will Travel Ever be the Same Again

How Fight Wil Change in 2022

 

It seems really strange for an aviation and any travel lover to say like this but most people have decided to stop traveling this month due to the high covert cases around the world the world health organization reports covet cases spiked by 71 percent around world nationwide airlines canceling thousands of flights over the weekend stranding families all around the country travel experts are not mincing words they're calling this a full-blown meltdown united airlines CEO Scott Kirby has said 3 000 of the company's employees are currently positive for covid 19.

With so many flights canceled so many countries on the red list so many pcr test requirements and so many apps to download there's just so much work before you fly internationally these days will travel ever be back to the same game or covid has changed the way travel should be We have asked three experts to share their opinions it's going to be a long lasting legacy is hygiene and cleanliness mean the reality with covid is this isn't a post-covered world we're going to be in an always covered world we need to protect the oil normally, we need to focus on the new normal so it depends on where you're coming from and where you're going to if you're going from a highly vaccinated country or region to another highly vaccinated country or region testing is likely to be minimal first let me share with you some of the pings pongs in current international travel with rapidly changing requirements one day the country requires tests another day.

It doesn't one day the country requires vaccinations another day it might require boosters as well one day you might require certificates of one type and another day you may require another type so a lot of these new restrictions and requirements can often turn away travelers because of the steps required especially if it's a large family the costs add up the forms add up and people may be discouraged from traveling i went to Thailand in November when Thailand opened the country with Thailand pass allowing tourists to enter without quarantine with just a pcr test on arrival however the Thailand pass got suddenly suspended in December.

Due to a high number of arrival and the omicron variants that tells you how things can change very quickly with no notice and it throws a lot of people's travel plan out so we haven't traveled in two years and this is our first flight and last night the government uh just broke the news that we had to extend our quarantine from two nights to seven nights so yes we had we can't do anything about it so yeah let's combine rooms so this is like going back home to Indonesia you need to do a seven-night quarantine now instead of two nights oh no that's the price that's just crazy right now yeah the next pain point of currently international traveling is the increase in the airfare it is almost impossible to buy your ticket three months six months 12 months in advance to lock in a cheaper rate.

Because you simply don't know what will happen in three months six months and 12 months so people tend to buy ticket last minute and that costs more there are a few countries also restrict the number of flights can operate into their country or the number of seats on each flight the airline can sail and obviously that has skyrocketed air tickets take a look at the united airlines flight from san Francisco to shanghai the cheapest economy class is seven thousand dollars and premium economy over twelve thousand dollar round trip we remember there used to be arguments whether first class will be history the dynamic of air travel has really changed during covid.

 Now we're seeing a lot of first class are back in demand and also in business and premium economy simply travelers want to have more space it makes me wonder whether there will be more changes in the air travel industry covet actually has it for better or for worse in many ways better forced restructuring in the industry but we're about to really see the test because what we're now seeing is the payroll support and a lot of the subsidies and a lot of that is wearing off and now the companies and the airlines and their staff have to stand on their own two feet and so we could see change which really benefits the low cost carriers of low cost base and i also think what we're obviously going to see which we are starting to see again is more consolidation another big change.

We see is the regional airlines in this country in the united states are going to really have a shakeout that's largely due to the lack of pilots and you're already seeing that and so what does that mean obviously hasting the retirement of the fuel and efficient 50-seat aircraft but what else does that mean well you're going to have larger gauge aircraft into the secondary tertiary markets that are operated by the regionals but they'll probably be fewer amounts of connectivity some cities will lose service some cities will have reduced frequency and when they do have frequency they'll have be using larger aircraft and we're already seeing that domestically in the us and around the world we're seeing an up gauge uh where the hard the market used to be for short haul uh the 737.8 or the a320 well now we see the heart of the market as being a larger aircraft eight towards the a321s but ironically on the secondary standpoint we're seeing a down gauge on wide bodies now the 787 is being cannibalized by say at the lower end of that capacity by the e321 and in the high end the triple 7x this big bet they've made for the next generation.